ANALYZING MULTIPLE BUBBLES IN THE USDKZT EXCHANGE RATE USING THE GSADF TEST
نویسندگان
چکیده
Since most of the financial crisis caused by bursting bubble assets, investigation behaviors and early detection for prevention adverse economic consequences is important. This paper investigates whether multiple price bubbles exist in USDKZT exchange rate on basis a recursive right tailed Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey Fuller Test (GSADF) developed Phillips, Shi Yu (2015), as well to determine date stamps bubbles. In this regard, we performed GSADF test using weekly closing prices nominal period between 23.08.2015 04.04.2021. line with empirical findings obtained, two explosive are detected 2018 2020 when deviates from fundamental value. Our findings suggest that due possibility repetition, has been verified be better detecting
منابع مشابه
the relationship between learners critical thinking ability and their performance in the reading sections of the tofel and ielts test
the study reflected in this thesis aims at finding out relationships between critical thinking (ct), and the reading sections of tofel and ielts tests. the study tries to find any relationships between the ct ability of students and their performance on reading tests of tofel and academic ielts. however, no research has ever been conducted to investigate the relationship between ct and the read...
15 صفحه اولthe test for adverse selection in life insurance market: the case of mellat insurance company
انتخاب نامساعد یکی از مشکلات اساسی در صنعت بیمه است. که ابتدا در سال 1960، توسط روتشیلد واستیگلیتز مورد بحث ومطالعه قرار گرفت ازآن موقع تاکنون بسیاری از پژوهشگران مدل های مختلفی را برای تجزیه و تحلیل تقاضا برای صنعت بیمه عمر که تماما ناشی از عدم قطعیت در این صنعت میباشد انجام داده اند .وهدف از آن پیدا کردن شرایطی است که تحت آن شرایط انتخاب یا کنار گذاشتن یک بیمه گزار به نفع و یا زیان شرکت بیمه ...
15 صفحه اولEvaluation of Multiple Bubbles in the Stock Market of Tehran
عدم تشخیص حبابهای قیمت دارایی و نوع آن (یگانه و چندگانه) موجب اثرات مخربی بر اقتصاد میشود. ابزارهای اقتصادی جدید، نه تنها تحلیل رفتار انفجاری ملایم حباب را ممکن گردانیده؛ بلکه تعیین تاریخ شروع و خاتمه آنها را نیز مهیا کرده است. هدف مطالعه حاضر کشف حبابهای قیمت بورس اوراق بهادار تهران و شرکت فرابورس ایران و تعیین تاریخهای شروع، انفجار و محو کامل حباب در دوره 01/1389 تا 01/1395 است. در این ر...
متن کاملآزمون حبابهای چندگانه در بازار ارز ایران: کاربردی از آزمونهای ریشه واحد RTADF
The bubble of Asset Price is the deviation of the asset price from its fundamental value. Since the many of the financial crisis arise from bursting bubble of financial assets, the explore of bubble behaviors in these markets and the early detection for the prevention of adverse economic consequences is important. Considering the criticisms of conventional tests for detecting price bubbles and ...
متن کاملAnalyzing the Asymmetric Effect of Exchange Rate on Employment in Iran with Emphasis on Economic Sectors
Due to the structure of exchange rate regime in Iran and its dependence on oil revenues in recent decades, it is expected that exchange rate changes can be regarded as a consequence of major changes in oil price. In this regard, the exchange rate increases and decreases can influence the level of employment of firms by affecting the amount of their profitability, and of course, this kind of inf...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Eurasian research journal
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2519-2442']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.53277/2519-2442-2021.2-01